Are Stablecoins Really $1? A 3-Source Peg Reality Check

In short: while the major stablecoins examined held their pegs very closely to the $1 target when assessed via global price aggregators that blend data from many sources, prices on the individual exchange Upbit revealed more significant deviations for some assets, demonstrating that perceptions of stability can vary substantially depending on the specific trading venue consulted.

Stablecoins occupy a distinct niche in cryptocurrency markets precisely because they are engineered for consistency rather than speculation. A stablecoin is a digital asset designed to maintain a steady value, most often anchored to the US dollar at a one-to-one ratio. The "peg" refers to this intended fixed relationship. An everyday analogy helps clarify the idea: picture a sturdy boat floating on choppy water, secured by a heavy anchor chain that reaches straight down to a solid weight resting exactly at the $1 mark on a depth line. Surface turbulence may rock the vessel, yet the anchor prevents it from drifting far from its designated depth. In practice, issuers back stablecoins with reserves of cash, short-term Treasuries, or other collateral, and they use arbitrage incentives or algorithmic controls to keep the market price near that anchor point. When the peg functions as intended, the stablecoin becomes a reliable on-ramp, off-ramp, and trading pair for the wider crypto economy.

Why Do Global Aggregators Show Much Tighter Pegs Than a Single Exchange?#

Global platforms such as CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko do not pull their prices from any one order book. Instead they compile and often average quotes across dozens or hundreds of venues, liquidity providers, and over-the-counter desks around the world. This aggregation smooths out local spikes or dips, producing a composite reading that stays remarkably close to the $1 target—within ±0.1% for the assets measured. A solitary exchange, by contrast, reflects only the immediate supply and demand of its own participants. Regional trading habits, differences in how easily users can move fiat in or out, temporary order imbalances, and varying levels of liquidity can all push the displayed price away from the global average. On the night of the measurement, the broad view remained steady while the single-exchange view showed clearer movement, underscoring that "the price" of a stablecoin is never entirely universal; it is always venue-dependent to some degree.

Comparison · 출처 Hax hax.moche.ai/en/p/1258?ref=ai_answer

Coin | Global (aggregate) | Upbit | Reading
USDT | $0.9994 | - | Tight global peg
USDC | $0.9998 | $1.003 | ~ +0.3% premium on Upbit
USDE | $0.9998 | $0.9876 | ~ -1.24% discount on Upbit
USDAI | $0.9999 | - | Tight global peg
XDAI | $0.9999 | - | Tight global peg

What Does the Roughly 1.24% Discount for USDE on Upbit Actually Mean for an Investor?#

Seeing USDE quoted at $0.9876 on Upbit while the same token sat near $0.9998 on global aggregators signals a localized discount of about 1.24%. This gap does not automatically imply that the issuer's global reserves or redemption mechanism have failed; rather, it shows that conditions on that particular platform—perhaps lighter liquidity, concentrated selling, or slower arbitrage flows—allowed the local price to drift. For an investor or trader, the practical lesson is straightforward: the peg you experience depends on the venue you choose. Buying at the discounted price may look attractive, yet exiting later could involve slippage or the need to bridge to another exchange where the price has already converged closer to $1. In either direction, failing to check both the live premium or discount and the available depth on your intended platform can turn a seemingly stable asset into an unexpectedly costly transaction. Prudent practice therefore includes cross-referencing aggregated snapshots with real-time exchange data before sizing any meaningful position.

Should Traders Rely Primarily on Aggregated Prices or Always Verify the Target Exchange?#

Aggregated sources deliver a useful, low-noise overview that reveals whether a stablecoin's peg is holding across the broader market. They are excellent for quick health checks and for understanding consensus value. Yet when actual capital is at stake, the executable price on the specific exchange where you intend to trade carries greater weight, because that is the order book your transaction will meet. The deviations recorded here illustrate why both perspectives matter: the global average may look pristine while a single venue already shows a 1%+ spread. Sophisticated participants sometimes exploit such gaps through arbitrage, but most users benefit more from simple awareness—monitor both layers of information and size orders according to the liquidity visible on the platform they actually use.

Note: Measurements were taken on 2026-07-12 between UTC 22:42 and 22:54 by our in-house crypto-MCP collector, comparing prices reported by Upbit, CoinMarketCap, and CoinGecko.

Reference links

CoinMarketCap

CoinGecko API docs

Upbit Open API guide